New national poll reveals a weaker than expected lead for Labour
Results of an exclusive Nub News Readers' poll reveal that Labour's anticipated dominance in the upcoming general election might not be as comprehensive as expected.
With warnings to Sir Kier Starmer of complacency, 29% of subscribers in our towns across the country said they currently plan to vote for a Labour candidate come July 4.
This figure starkly contrasts with the 42% vote share predicted for Labour by other sources, painting a picture of a much tighter and uncertain race.
However, the lower numbers Labour will still be little consolation to Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives who sit second in the poll with just 20% of the votes - which would be less than half the amount they received in the 2019 election.
The Tories only narrowly edged out Nigel Farage's Reform and Sir Ed Davey's Liberal Democrats who each had 19% of the vote share, taking the votes from Labour.
Local polling shows voters in Liberal Democrat strongholds across south-west London are yet to be swayed, with just over two weeks left before polling day.
However some are surprised by the splitting of the Conservative vote by Reform, with the latter narrowly edging ahead in our latest readers' poll, possibly marking an end to the historic two-party race in such constituencies.
Twickenham and Teddington poll results in full:
- Munira Wilson, Liberal Democrats – 58.74%
- Alex Starling, Reform UK – 14.50%
- Jonathan Hulley, Conservative Party – 13.01%
- Tom Bruce, Labour Party – 8.55%
- Chantal Kerr-Sheppard, Green Party – 4.09%
- Umair Malik, Workers Party – 1.12%
Nub News polled 3,000 newsletter subscribers between 12.30pm on Wednesday 12 June and midnight on Thursday 13 June. Readers were only able to register a single vote for a local candidate. In Twickenham and Teddington, 269 subscribers were polled. Results were not weighted demographically.
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