READERS' POLL: Lib Dems see strong lead while Reform edges out Conservatives in surprise result

By Oliver Monk

17th Jun 2024 | General Election 2024

Lib Dem candidate Munira Wilson saw a strong lead in a recent poll of Nub News readers. (Photo: Munira Wilson)
Lib Dem candidate Munira Wilson saw a strong lead in a recent poll of Nub News readers. (Photo: Munira Wilson)

The Liberal Democrats are set to retain their seat as their historic Conservative rivals lose ground to Reform, according to the results of a Nub News poll.

The independent survey of Teddington and Twickenham Nub News newsletter subscribers found nearly 59% of readers would vote to reelect Lib Dem Munira Wilson if the election was held today – a small gain of 2.6% over the previous general election held in 2019.

Meanwhile, the Conservative vote has been slashed from 34% to 13%, with candidate Jonathan Tulley losing significant ground to Alex Starling from Reform UK.

The two candidates are neck-and-neck, with the Nigel Farage-led Reform edging into second place with a 1.5% lead.

Labour's popularity has remained consistent, with its 8.5% share in the Nub News poll almost identical to that of the last election.

The remainder of respondents – just over 5% – indicated their support for either the Green Party (4%) or the four-year-old Workers Party of Great Britain (1%).

While this early polling suggests the Lib Dems will retain their seat in the Twickenham constituency, the Conservative party's losses to Reform could be signs of a shift in its reputation as a two-party seat.

Results in full:

  • Munira Wilson, Liberal Democrats – 58.74%
  • Alex Starling, Reform UK – 14.50%
  • Jonathan Hulley, Conservative Party – 13.01%
  • Tom Bruce, Labour Party – 8.55%
  • Chantal Kerr-Sheppard, Green Party – 4.09%
  • Umair Malik, Workers Party – 1.12%

Teddington and Twickenham Nub News polled 269 newsletter subscribers between 12.30pm on Wednesday, June 12, and midnight on Thursday, June 13. Readers were only able to register a single vote for one of the seven candidates. Results were not weighted demographically.

To be included in future polls like this, please subscribe to our weekly newsletter here and help support our community-focused, clickbait-free local news site. Thank you.

     

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